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Despite Tariff Fearmongering, Inflation Numbers Come in Lower Than Expected

by Economic Report
August 12, 2025
in Opinions, Original
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The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its July Consumer Price Index data this morning, showing that inflation rose 2.7 percent on an annual basis—lower than the 2.8 percent economists had anticipated.

Monthly prices ticked up by just 0.2 percent, holding steady amid ongoing economic pressures. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, came in at 3.1 percent annually, a touch higher than expected, but the headline number tells a clearer story: despite months of dire warnings from the left about President Trump’s tariffs igniting runaway inflation, the figures simply didn’t deliver the catastrophe they predicted.


  • What Is Driving Silver’s Price Rise and Will It Continue?


Critics in the media and Democratic circles have spent the better part of 2025 hammering away at Trump’s trade policies, claiming that tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and other nations would slam American consumers with higher costs across the board. They’ve painted pictures of skyrocketing prices for everything from appliances to apparel, insisting that these measures would undo years of progress on taming inflation. Yet here we are, with the latest report showing inflation not only below forecasts but also cooling slightly from prior trends in key areas. Energy prices dropped 1.1 percent in July, and food costs remained flat, providing real relief to working families.

Even some economists who have been skeptical of tariffs are admitting the impact hasn’t been as severe as feared. Jared Bernstein, a former White House economist under Joe Biden, noted, “The tariffs are in the numbers, but they’re certainly not jumping out hair on fire at this point.”

Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, added, “Inflation is on the rise, but it didn’t increase as much as some people feared. In the short term, markets will likely embrace these numbers because they should allow the Fed to focus on labor-market weakness and keep a September rate cut on the table. Longer term, we likely haven’t seen the end of rising prices as tariffs continue to work their way through the economy.”

Ajay Rajadhyaksha, global chairman of research at Barclays, echoed this sentiment: “You are starting to see tariff impact on the goods side, but it is also true that so far the impact every month has been a little bit less than you would expect. It is very much an inexact science.”

These admissions from experts highlight how the alarmist rhetoric has outpaced reality. Tariffs have indeed affected certain categories—like household furnishings, which rose 0.7 percent—but others, such as apparel and vehicles, showed minimal or no change. Businesses have adapted by stockpiling goods or absorbing costs temporarily, preventing the widespread price hikes that doomsayers promised.

From the White House, Council of Economic Advisers Chair Stephen Miran put it plainly: “What we’ve seen time and again is President Trump has a great track record on these calls. What we’re seeing now, in real time, is a repetition once again of this pattern, where the president will end up having been proven right, and the Fed will, with a lag and probably quite too late, eventually catch up to the president’s view.”

Trump’s tariffs aren’t just about short-term prices; they’re about long-term fairness in trade, protecting American jobs from unfair foreign competition, and bringing manufacturing back home. Studies show that while tariffs may raise some costs initially, they also boost domestic production in protected industries, adding billions in output that benefits U.S. workers.

The left’s fearmongering ignores these benefits, focusing instead on hypothetical disasters that keep failing to materialize. Remember the hysteria over the 2018-2019 trade actions? Economists now acknowledge that those tariffs didn’t derail the economy as predicted, and today’s data suggests history is repeating itself. Inflation remains well below the peaks we saw under the previous administration, and with the Federal Reserve eyeing rate cuts, markets are responding positively—futures rose after the report, signaling confidence in Trump’s economic stewardship.


  • The Silver Boom Was Inevitable — It Belongs in Your Safe or Backing Your Retirement


Many economists have long argued that strong trade policies strengthen America, not weaken it. Today’s numbers prove that point once more, exposing the tariff scaremongers for what they are: partisans more interested in undermining the president than in acknowledging economic resilience. As tariffs continue to level the playing field, expect more good news for American families and fewer excuses from the critics.

Discern Report





How to Prepare for Food Emergencies if You Don’t Have a Homestead or Bunker

In an unpredictable world, where supply chain disruptions, natural disasters, or economic instability can strike without warning, having a reliable food supply is more than just smart—it’s essential for survival. Whether you’re a “prepper” or not, we all know the golden rule: self-sufficiency is key. But what if you’re living in an apartment, working long hours, or simply don’t have the land to turn into a thriving homestead? Don’t worry; there’s a practical, effective way to build your food security without needing acres of soil or a fortified bunker.

The Ideal Prep: Building Your Own Food Empire

The ultimate dream for any serious prepper is controlling your own food production. Imagine waking up to a sprawling garden bursting with fresh vegetables, fruits, and herbs—tomatoes ripening on the vine, potatoes ready to harvest, and greens that provide nutrition year-round. Add in livestock like chickens for eggs and meat, and you’ve got a self-sustaining system that keeps your family fed no matter what chaos unfolds outside.

This approach isn’t just about calories; it’s about resilience. A well-maintained garden can yield hundreds of pounds of produce annually, while a small flock of chickens might produce dozens of eggs weekly. It’s empowering, cost-effective in the long run, and teaches invaluable skills like crop rotation, animal husbandry, and preservation techniques. If you have the space, time, and resources, starting small and scaling up is the best path to true independence.

The Reality Check: Not Everyone Can Homestead

But let’s face it—not all of us are in a position to go full homesteader. Urban dwellers might be limited to a balcony or community plot that’s far from sufficient for long-term needs. Busy professionals juggling jobs, families, and daily life often lack the hours required for daily tending. And for those in apartments, condos, or regions with harsh climates, raising livestock or maintaining a large garden simply isn’t feasible. Factors like zoning laws, soil quality, water access, or even physical limitations can make this ideal out of reach.

That’s where the frustration sets in. You want to be prepared, but without a homestead or bunker, how do you ensure your pantry doesn’t run dry during a prolonged crisis? The good news is, you don’t have to sacrifice your preparedness goals. There’s a smart, accessible alternative that bridges the gap: investing in high-quality, long-term storage food.

The Smart Alternative: Long-Term Storage Food from Heaven’s Harvest

Long-term storage food is designed for exactly these scenarios—providing nutrient-dense, shelf-stable meals that last for decades without refrigeration or special conditions. It’s the perfect solution for preppers who can’t rely on fresh production but still demand reliability and variety in their emergency stockpile.

At Heaven’s Harvest, they specialize in premium survival food kits that make preparedness effortless. Their products are crafted with the prepper mindset in mind: non-GMO, made in the USA, and packed with real ingredients that taste like home-cooked meals, not bland rations. Whether you’re stocking up for a short-term blackout or a long-haul SHTF event, our kits offer:

  • Extended Shelf Life: Up to 25 years of storage, so you can buy once and forget about rotation worries.
  • Nutritional Balance: High-protein entrees, fruits, vegetables, and dairy alternatives to keep your energy up and health intact.
  • Ease of Preparation: Just add water, and you’ve got hearty meals like beef stroganoff, chili mac, or cheesy lasagna ready in minutes—no garden weeding required.
  • Customizable Options: From individual buckets to family-sized kits, scale your supply to fit your needs and budget.
  • Peace of Mind: Sealed in durable, waterproof containers that protect against pests, moisture, and light.

Unlike generic store-bought cans that spoil quickly or lack variety, Heaven’s Harvest focuses on quality and sustainability. Our food is freeze-dried or dehydrated to lock in flavor and nutrients, ensuring you’re not just surviving but thriving. And for those concerned about allergens or dietary preferences, we offer gluten-free and vegetarian options to keep everyone covered.

Why Wait? Secure Your Food Supply Today

Preparing for food emergencies doesn’t require a homestead or bunker—it requires action. By choosing long-term storage food from Heaven’s Harvest, you’re taking control in a way that fits your lifestyle. Start small with a 72-hour kit to test the waters, or go all-in with a year’s supply for ultimate security.

Visit Heaven’s Harvest today and use code “PATRIOT” for an exclusive discount on your order. Don’t let limitations hold you back; build your resilient future, one meal at a time. Your family will thank you when it matters most.

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